Belarusian Premier League · Thursday, 15 October, MSK

Din. Minsk — Slavia Mozyr

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Model prediction for 15 October

Din. Minsk61%
Draw22%
Slavia Mozyr17%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Din. Minsk are clear favourites: 61% against 17% for the opponent, draw 22%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 42%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Din. Minsk are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Din. Minsk — No. 2, 46 pts; Slavia Mozyr — No. 10, 25 pts. A gap of 21 pts.
  • Slavia Mozyr: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Din. Minsk 3 wins, Slavia Mozyr 1, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Din. Minsk — Slavia Mozyr What is xG?1.7–0.7
Din. Minsk not to lose83%
Slavia Mozyr not to lose39%
No draw78%
Both teams to score: yes42%
Both teams to score: no58%
Total over 2.544%
Total under 2.556%

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  • Handicap Din. Minsk
  • Din. Minsk goals
  • Slavia Mozyr goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Din. Minsk

  • 11.10away · Dnepr Mogilev3:2
  • 19.09BATE2:0
  • 13.09Dynamo Brest0:1
  • 06.09away · ML Vitebsk0:0
  • 02.09Naftan5:1

Slavia Mozyr

  • 10.10away · BATE1:2
  • 19.09Naftan0:1
  • 11.09away · FC Minsk0:1
  • 04.09Vitebsk3:0
  • 29.08away · Neman0:1

Head to head

  • 21.03.2026Slavia Mozyr — Din. Minsk1:2
  • 24.08.2025Din. Minsk — Slavia Mozyr3:1
  • 13.04.2025Slavia Mozyr — Din. Minsk3:0
  • 19.10.2024Din. Minsk — Slavia Mozyr2:0
  • 26.05.2024Slavia Mozyr — Din. Minsk1:1

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1, Champions League qualifyingML Vitebsk22138147–18+2947
2, Europa League or Conference LeagueDin. Minsk22144440–18+2246
3, Europa League or Conference LeagueIsloch23137337–18+1946
9Zhodino2386929–29030
10Slavia Mozyr23671024–28-425
11Baranovici24671124–41-1725

Season 2026

Full table

Belarusian Premier League on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →