Scottish Premiership, round 9 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Dundee FC — Rangers

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Model prediction for 17 October

Dundee FC11%
Draw21%
Rangers69%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Rangers are clear favourites: 69% against 11% for the opponent, draw 21%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.

Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 58%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Rangers are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Dundee FC — No. 4, 13 pts; Rangers — No. 2, 19 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
  • Rangers: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Dundee FC 0 wins, Rangers 3, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Dundee FC — Rangers What is xG?1.0–2.3
Dundee FC not to lose31%
Rangers not to lose89%
No draw79%
Both teams to score: yes58%
Both teams to score: no42%
Total over 2.563%
Total under 2.537%

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  • Handicap Dundee FC
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  • Rangers goals
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Form

Dundee FC

  • 10.10away · Falkirk2:1
  • 19.09Motherwell2:1
  • 06.09away · Heart of Midlothian1:2
  • 02.09St. Johnstone1:1
  • 30.08Hibernian1:2

Rangers

  • 10.10Kilmarnock3:1
  • 20.09away · Celtic1:0
  • 09.09St. Mirren1:0
  • 05.09Motherwell1:0
  • 02.09away · Falkirk2:1

Head to head

  • 25.01.2026Rangers — Dundee FC3:0
  • 09.11.2025Dundee FC — Rangers0:3
  • 09.08.2025Rangers — Dundee FC1:1
  • 29.03.2025Dundee FC — Rangers3:4
  • 09.01.2025Dundee FC — Rangers1:1

Full record: 10 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1, Championship roundCeltic870116–4+1221
2, Championship roundRangers861111–5+619
3, Championship roundHeart of Midlothian851219–8+1116
4, Championship roundDundee FC841311–8+313
5, Championship roundSt. Johnstone832310–10011

Season 2026/27

Full table

Scottish Premiership on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →