Nigeria NPFL, round 9 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Enyimba — Warri Wolves FC

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Model prediction for 18 October

Enyimba62%
Draw23%
Warri Wolves FC15%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Enyimba are clear favourites: 62% against 15% for the opponent, draw 23%.

2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 38%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Enyimba are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Enyimba — No. 19, 7 pts; Warri Wolves FC — No. 13, 10 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
  • Last 2 meetings: Enyimba 0 wins, Warri Wolves FC 2.
  • Days of rest before the match: Enyimba 9, Warri Wolves FC 7.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Enyimba — Warri Wolves FC What is xG?1.6–0.6
Enyimba not to lose85%
Warri Wolves FC not to lose38%
No draw77%
Both teams to score: yes38%
Both teams to score: no62%
Total over 2.539%
Total under 2.561%

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Form

Enyimba

  • 09.10away · Katsina United2:4
  • 04.10Plateau United2:0
  • 30.09Shooting Stars4:2
  • 27.09away · Kano Pillars0:0
  • 23.09Sporting Lagos2:3

Warri Wolves FC

  • 11.10Inter Lagos3:1
  • 04.10away · Doma United0:1
  • 30.09Enugu Rangers0:1
  • 27.09Shooting Stars1:0
  • 23.09away · Niger Tornadoes0:0

Head to head

  • 08.03.2026Warri Wolves FC — Enyimba2:1
  • 19.10.2025Enyimba — Warri Wolves FC1:2

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
12Kwara United83149–9010
13Warri Wolves FC83146–7-110
14Niger Tornadoes82336–7-19
18Kun Khalifat82247–14-78
19Enyimba821511–14-37
20Inter Lagos81255–13-85

Season 2026/27

Full table

Nigeria NPFL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →