Turkish Super Lig, round 10 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Erzurumspor FK — Çorum FK

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Model prediction for 31 October

Erzurumspor FK30%
Draw30%
Çorum FK40%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Çorum FK are slightly stronger: 40% against 30%, draw 30%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).

Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 53%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Çorum FK are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Erzurumspor FK — No. 14, 8 pts; Çorum FK — No. 8, 10 pts. A gap of 2 pts.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Erzurumspor FK — Çorum FK What is xG?1.1–1.4
Erzurumspor FK not to lose60%
Çorum FK not to lose70%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes53%
Both teams to score: no47%
Total over 2.546%
Total under 2.555%

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  • Handicap Erzurumspor FK
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Form

Erzurumspor FK

  • 10.10away · Alanyaspor0:0
  • 20.09Samsunspor1:0
  • 11.09away · Beşiktaş0:3
  • 05.09Konyaspor1:0
  • 28.08away · Gençlerbirliği1:1

Çorum FK

  • 11.10away · Gaziantep FK3:0
  • 19.09Alanyaspor1:2
  • 12.09away · Samsunspor5:1
  • 06.09Eyüpspor3:0
  • 31.08away · Beşiktaş2:6

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
7Kocaelispor74038–6+212
8Çorum FK731316–12+410
9Kasımpaşa72418–8010
13Gençlerbirliği72237–15-88
14Erzurumspor FK72233–11-88
15Göztepe713315–1506

Season 2026/27

Full table

Super Lig on the same day

  • XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.5
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →