Turkish Super Lig, round 10 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Fenerbahçe — Göztepe
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Fenerbahçe are clear favourites: 68% against 13% for the opponent, draw 19%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.6 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 64%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Fenerbahçe are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Fenerbahçe — Göztepe What is xG? | 2.5–1.1 | |
| Fenerbahçe not to lose | 87% | |
| Göztepe not to lose | 32% | |
| No draw | 81% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 70% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 30% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Fenerbahçe
- Fenerbahçe goals
- Göztepe goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Rizespor3:0
- 20.09Eyüpspor8:0
- 14.09away · Gaziantep FK0:0
- 10.09Roma1:1
- 05.09Beşiktaş1:2
- 12.10away · Eyüpspor4:0
- 20.09Rizespor2:2
- 12.09away · Alanyaspor2:2
- 07.09Gaziantep FK2:4
- 29.08away · Galatasaray2:3
Head to head
- 25.01.2026Fenerbahçe — Göztepe1:1
- 16.08.2025Göztepe — Fenerbahçe0:0
- 26.01.2025Fenerbahçe — Göztepe3:2
- 17.08.2024Göztepe — Fenerbahçe2:2
- 16.04.2022Fenerbahçe — Göztepe2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Amed Sportif | 7 | 4 | +8 | 14 |
| 4, Europa League or Conference League | Fenerbahçe | 7 | 4 | +13 | 13 |
| 5 | Trabzonspor | 7 | 4 | +11 | 13 |
| 14 | Erzurumspor FK | 7 | 2 | -8 | 8 |
| 15 | Göztepe | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 16, Relegation | Konyaspor | 7 | 1 | -4 | 5 |
Super Lig on the same day
- Erzurumspor FKÇorum FKpreliminary2730432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.4
- KocaelisporRizesporpreliminary4131281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →