Turkish Super Lig, round 10 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Kocaelispor — Rizespor
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Kocaelispor are slightly stronger: 41% against 28%, draw 31%.
The model expects few goals: 2.3 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kocaelispor — Rizespor What is xG? | 1.3–1.0 | |
| Kocaelispor not to lose | 72% | |
| Rizespor not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 39% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 61% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Kocaelispor
- Kocaelispor goals
- Rizespor goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10away · Beşiktaş1:2
- 19.09Gaziantep FK2:0
- 13.09away · Galatasaray0:1
- 06.09Samsunspor1:0
- 29.08away · Konyaspor2:1
- 10.10Fenerbahçe0:3
- 20.09away · Göztepe2:2
- 12.09away · Eyüpspor2:0
- 07.09Alanyaspor0:1
- 29.08away · Gaziantep FK2:1
Head to head
- 20.02.2026Rizespor — Kocaelispor2:0
- 21.09.2025Kocaelispor — Rizespor1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Alanyaspor | 7 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 7 | 4 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 | Çorum FK | 7 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 | Kasımpaşa | 7 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Rizespor | 7 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Başakşehir | 7 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
Super Lig on the same day
- Erzurumspor FKÇorum FKpreliminary2730432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.4
- FenerbahçeGöztepepreliminary6819131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →