Kazakhstan Premier League, round 23 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
FC Altai Oskemen — Atyrau
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
FC Altai Oskemen are slightly stronger: 41% against 29%, draw 30%.
The model expects few goals: 2.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: FC Altai Oskemen — No. 15, 23 pts; Atyrau — No. 12, 26 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Altai Oskemen — Atyrau What is xG? | 1.2–1.0 | |
| FC Altai Oskemen not to lose | 71% | |
| Atyrau not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 41% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 59% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Altai Oskemen
- FC Altai Oskemen goals
- Atyrau goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Kaspiy Aktau1:2
- 18.09Irtysh Pavlodar1:2
- 13.09away · Ulytau3:0
- 06.09Kaisar Kyzylorda2:0
- 29.08away · Zhenis0:1
- 10.10away · Zhenis2:1
- 17.09Ordabasy Shymkent0:3
- 12.09away · Kaisar Kyzylorda0:1
- 05.09away · FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk1:0
- 30.08FC Astana2:3
Head to head
- 03.05.2026Atyrau — FC Altai Oskemen1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk | 27 | 7 | -9 | 28 |
| 12 | Atyrau | 26 | 5 | -9 | 26 |
| 13 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 27 | 6 | -11 | 26 |
| 14 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 27 | 4 | -14 | 24 |
| 15 | FC Altai Oskemen | 27 | 5 | -14 | 23 |
| 16 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 27 | 5 | -19 | 22 |
Kazakhstan Premier League on the same day
- 5724191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- 821361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 761581The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →