Kazakhstan Premier League, round 23 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
FC Yelimay — Ulytau
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
FC Yelimay are clear favourites: 60% against 17% for the opponent, draw 23%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC Yelimay are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Yelimay — Ulytau What is xG? | 1.8–0.9 | |
| FC Yelimay not to lose | 83% | |
| Ulytau not to lose | 40% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Yelimay
- FC Yelimay goals
- Ulytau goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Aktobe1:3
- 17.09away · Tobol Kostanay2:0
- 12.09Zhetysu Taldykorgan2:1
- 06.09away · FC Astana0:4
- 31.08Kairat Almaty0:2
- 11.10Okzhetpes Kokshetau2:0
- 18.09away · Aktobe2:2
- 13.09FC Altai Oskemen0:3
- 06.09away · Tobol Kostanay1:3
- 29.08Zhetysu Taldykorgan3:0
Head to head
- 03.05.2026Ulytau — FC Yelimay1:0
- 12.07.2025Ulytau — FC Yelimay1:1
- 06.04.2025FC Yelimay — Ulytau3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 27 | 13 | +4 | 45 |
| 6 | FC Yelimay | 26 | 10 | 0 | 38 |
| 7 | Tobol Kostanay | 27 | 11 | -1 | 37 |
| 8 | Ulytau | 27 | 9 | -6 | 35 |
| 9 | Zhenis | 27 | 8 | -7 | 32 |
Kazakhstan Premier League on the same day
- 4130291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.0
- 821261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 771581The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →