Kazakhstan Premier League, round 29 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
FC Altai Oskemen — FC Yelimay
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: FC Altai Oskemen 33%, FC Yelimay 40%, draw 27%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC Yelimay are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: FC Altai Oskemen — No. 15, 23 pts; FC Yelimay — No. 6, 41 pts. A gap of 18 pts.
- Days of rest before the match: FC Altai Oskemen 14, FC Yelimay 11.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Altai Oskemen — FC Yelimay What is xG? | 1.4–1.5 | |
| FC Altai Oskemen not to lose | 60% | |
| FC Yelimay not to lose | 67% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Altai Oskemen
- FC Altai Oskemen goals
- FC Yelimay goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Kaspiy Aktau1:2
- 18.09Irtysh Pavlodar1:2
- 13.09away · Ulytau3:0
- 06.09Kaisar Kyzylorda2:0
- 29.08away · Zhenis0:1
- 14.10away · Atyrau2:1
- 10.10Aktobe1:3
- 17.09away · Tobol Kostanay2:0
- 12.09Zhetysu Taldykorgan2:1
- 06.09away · FC Astana0:4
Head to head
- 16.03.2026FC Yelimay — FC Altai Oskemen1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 27 | 13 | +4 | 45 |
| 6 | FC Yelimay | 27 | 11 | +1 | 41 |
| 7 | Tobol Kostanay | 27 | 11 | -1 | 37 |
| 14 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 27 | 4 | -14 | 24 |
| 15 | FC Altai Oskemen | 27 | 5 | -14 | 23 |
| 16 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 27 | 5 | -19 | 22 |
Kazakhstan Premier League on the same day
- AtyrauIrtysh Pavlodarpreliminary4131281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.1
- AktobeKairat Almatypreliminary2327502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.7
- FC AstanaKaisar Kyzylordapreliminary781571The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →