Kazakhstan Premier League, round 29 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
FC Astana — Kaisar Kyzylorda
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
FC Astana are clear favourites: 79% against 7% for the opponent, draw 14%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 44%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC Astana are about 1.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Astana — Kaisar Kyzylorda What is xG? | 2.4–0.7 | |
| FC Astana not to lose | 93% | |
| Kaisar Kyzylorda not to lose | 21% | |
| No draw | 86% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Astana
- FC Astana goals
- Kaisar Kyzylorda goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Tobol Kostanay1:2
- 17.09Kairat Almaty1:0
- 12.09away · Ordabasy Shymkent0:1
- 06.09FC Yelimay4:0
- 30.08away · Atyrau3:2
- 11.10Ordabasy Shymkent1:4
- 18.09away · FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk1:1
- 12.09Atyrau1:0
- 06.09away · FC Altai Oskemen0:2
- 29.08Okzhetpes Kokshetau2:3
Head to head
- 16.03.2026Kaisar Kyzylorda — FC Astana0:0
- 28.08.2025FC Astana — Kaisar Kyzylorda5:1
- 04.05.2025Kaisar Kyzylorda — FC Astana1:1
- 18.09.2024Kaisar Kyzylorda — FC Astana0:1
- 12.05.2024FC Astana — Kaisar Kyzylorda1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 27 | 18 | +32 | 60 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 26 | 14 | +16 | 48 |
| 4 | Aktobe | 27 | 13 | +9 | 45 |
| 13 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 26 | 6 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 27 | 4 | -14 | 24 |
| 15 | FC Altai Oskemen | 27 | 5 | -14 | 23 |
Kazakhstan Premier League on the same day
- FC Altai OskemenFC Yelimaypreliminary3028422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- AtyrauIrtysh Pavlodarpreliminary4331261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
- AktobeKairat Almatypreliminary2428482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 79% will not happen in roughly 21 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →