Belarusian Premier League · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Stadion Traktor
FC Minsk — Zhodino
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0:1Missed
In short
Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, FC Minsk to win (37%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 37% fails in about 63 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: FC Minsk 37%, Zhodino 35%, draw 28%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Zhodino: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: FC Minsk 1 win, Zhodino 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Minsk — Zhodino What is xG? | 1.2–1.2 | |
| FC Minsk not to lose | 65% | |
| Zhodino not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Minsk
- FC Minsk goals
- Zhodino goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 18.09away · Belshina0:2
- 11.09Slavia Mozyr1:0
- 06.09away · Naftan3:0
- 30.08away · BATE1:2
- 21.08Vitebsk0:1
- 20.09away · Vitebsk0:6
- 12.09away · Neman0:1
- 05.09FC Gomel1:2
- 30.08away · Arsenal Dzerzhinsk4:2
- 24.08Dnepr Mogilev0:0
Head to head
- 23.05.2026Zhodino — FC Minsk3:0
- 02.11.2025Zhodino — FC Minsk0:1
- 14.06.2025FC Minsk — Zhodino1:5
- 20.09.2024Zhodino — FC Minsk2:2
- 03.05.2024FC Minsk — Zhodino1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Vitebsk | 24 | 10 | +7 | 37 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 24 | 10 | +1 | 34 |
| 9 | Zhodino | 23 | 8 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 23 | 6 | -4 | 25 |
Next matches
- ML VitebskZhodino15 October · Belarusian Premier League6424121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.6
- IslochFC Minsk17 October · Belarusian Premier League6023161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
Belarusian Premier League on the same day
- 3627361The most likely outcome came true: 14:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.9
- 4027331The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.3
- 6421151The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →