K League 1 (South Korea), round 32 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
FC Seoul — Gimcheon Sangmu
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
FC Seoul are clear favourites: 59% against 16% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC Seoul are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: FC Seoul — No. 1, 65 pts; Gimcheon Sangmu — No. 10, 33 pts. A gap of 32 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: FC Seoul 1 win, Gimcheon Sangmu 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Seoul — Gimcheon Sangmu What is xG? | 1.9–1.0 | |
| FC Seoul not to lose | 84% | |
| Gimcheon Sangmu not to lose | 41% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Seoul
- FC Seoul goals
- Gimcheon Sangmu goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Jeju SK2:1
- 20.09away · Pohang Steelers1:2
- 12.09away · Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC2:1
- 08.09away · Ulsan HD FC0:1
- 05.09Incheon United1:0
- 10.10FC Anyang0:1
- 19.09away · Bucheon FC 19952:0
- 13.09Gangwon FC2:2
- 09.09away · Pohang Steelers0:0
- 06.09Gwangju FC2:2
Head to head
- 08.08.2026Gimcheon Sangmu — FC Seoul0:0
- 02.05.2026FC Seoul — Gimcheon Sangmu2:3
- 22.11.2025FC Seoul — Gimcheon Sangmu1:3
- 17.08.2025Gimcheon Sangmu — FC Seoul6:2
- 28.05.2025Gimcheon Sangmu — FC Seoul0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Championship round | FC Seoul | 31 | 20 | +32 | 65 |
| 2, Championship round | Ulsan HD FC | 31 | 14 | +4 | 47 |
| 9, Relegation round | Pohang Steelers | 31 | 11 | -9 | 40 |
| 10, Relegation round | Gimcheon Sangmu | 31 | 5 | -7 | 33 |
| 11, Relegation round | Bucheon FC 1995 | 31 | 7 | -11 | 32 |
K League 1 on the same day
- 6024161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.1
- 5227211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- 403229XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.4
- 4729241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →