Serie A, round 7 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Fiorentina — Como
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Como are clear favourites: 47% against 24% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Fiorentina — No. 19, 4 pts; Como — No. 7, 11 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Fiorentina 2 wins, Como 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Fiorentina — Como What is xG? | 1.2–1.6 | |
| Fiorentina not to lose | 53% | |
| Como not to lose | 76% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Fiorentina
- Fiorentina goals
- Como goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
Head to head
- 14.02.2026Como — Fiorentina1:2
- 27.01.2026Fiorentina — Como1:3
- 21.09.2025Fiorentina — Como1:2
- 16.02.2025Fiorentina — Como0:2
- 24.11.2024Como — Fiorentina0:2
Table
Serie A on the same day
- 5029211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- 5129211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- 6921111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →