Serie A, round 7 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Udinese — Lecce
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Udinese are clear favourites: 50% against 21% for the opponent, draw 29%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Udinese are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Udinese — Lecce What is xG? | 1.5–0.9 | |
| Udinese not to lose | 79% | |
| Lecce not to lose | 50% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Udinese
- Udinese goals
- Lecce goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
Head to head
- 08.02.2026Lecce — Udinese2:1
- 25.10.2025Udinese — Lecce3:2
- 21.02.2025Lecce — Udinese0:1
- 05.10.2024Udinese — Lecce1:0
- 13.05.2024Lecce — Udinese0:2
Table
Serie A on the same day
- 2828432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
- 4330271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- 6223141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →