Serie A, round 7 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Juventus — Lazio
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Juventus are clear favourites: 62% against 14% for the opponent, draw 23%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Juventus are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Juventus — Lazio What is xG? | 1.7–0.8 | |
| Juventus not to lose | 86% | |
| Lazio not to lose | 38% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Juventus
- Juventus goals
- Lazio goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Cagliari1:1
- 20.09Atalanta2:0
- 17.09NEC Nijmegen5:0
- 13.09away · Sassuolo2:3
- 06.09Milan1:1
Head to head
- 08.02.2026Juventus — Lazio2:2
- 26.10.2025Lazio — Juventus1:0
- 10.05.2025Lazio — Juventus1:1
- 19.10.2024Juventus — Lazio1:0
- 23.04.2024Lazio — Juventus2:1
Table
Serie A on the same day
- 5029211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 2828432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
- 4330271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →