Brazilian Serie B, round 36 · Monday, 2 November, 22:00 MSK

Fortaleza — Atlético-GO

Model prediction for 2 November

Fortaleza51%

Draw28%

Atlético-GO22%

Model estimate at 14:19 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Fortaleza are clear favourites: 51% against 22% for the opponent, draw 28%.

2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).

Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 50%.

Why

By the strength ratings Fortaleza are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Facts

League table: Fortaleza — No. 4, 57 pts; Atlético-GO — No. 6, 53 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
Fortaleza: unbeaten in 5.
Last 5 meetings: Fortaleza 2 wins, Atlético-GO 2, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Fortaleza — Atlético-GO What is xG?		1.5–0.9
Fortaleza not to lose		78%
Atlético-GO not to lose		49%
No draw		72%
Both teams to score: yes		50%
Both teams to score: no		50%
Total over 2.5		46%
Total under 2.5		54%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Fortaleza
Fortaleza goals
Atlético-GO goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Form

Fortaleza

12.10CRB2:2
08.10away · América-MG1:0
03.10Náutico1:1
28.09Athletic Club MG2:2
21.09away · Londrina2:1

Atlético-GO

11.10Sport Recife1:1
08.10away · CRB1:3
03.10América-MG2:0
27.09away · Goiás1:0
19.09away · São Bernardo0:1

Head to head

13.07.2026Atlético-GO — Fortaleza1:0
05.12.2024Atlético-GO — Fortaleza3:1
22.07.2024Fortaleza — Atlético-GO3:1
06.11.2022Fortaleza — Atlético-GO1:1
18.07.2022Atlético-GO — Fortaleza0:1

Full record: 9 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
3, Promotion play-offs	Juventude	33	17	9	7	39–21	+18	60
4, Promotion play-offs	Fortaleza	33	15	12	6	39–29	+10	57
5, Promotion play-offs	Criciúma	33	16	8	9	34–28	+6	56
6, Promotion play-offs	Atlético-GO	33	14	11	8	41–31	+10	53
7	CRB	33	15	7	11	51–47	+4	52

Season 2026

Full table

Brasileirao Serie B on the same day

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1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
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This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →