K League 1 (South Korea), round 32 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Gangwon FC — Incheon United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Gangwon FC are slightly stronger: 40% against 29%, draw 32%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Gangwon FC — No. 3, 46 pts; Incheon United — No. 7, 42 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Gangwon FC 4 wins, Incheon United 0, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Gangwon FC — Incheon United What is xG? | 1.3–1.1 | |
| Gangwon FC not to lose | 71% | |
| Incheon United not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Gangwon FC
- Gangwon FC goals
- Incheon United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10Bucheon FC 19952:0
- 27.09Incheon United0:0
- 20.09Jeju SK0:1
- 13.09away · Gimcheon Sangmu2:2
- 09.09Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC1:1
- 09.10Pohang Steelers3:0
- 27.09away · Gangwon FC0:0
- 20.09Daejeon Hana Citizen1:1
- 12.09away · Ulsan HD FC1:2
- 08.09Bucheon FC 19952:1
Head to head
- 27.09.2026Gangwon FC — Incheon United0:0
- 02.05.2026Incheon United — Gangwon FC0:1
- 06.10.2024Incheon United — Gangwon FC1:3
- 30.06.2024Incheon United — Gangwon FC0:1
- 21.04.2024Gangwon FC — Incheon United4:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Championship round | Ulsan HD FC | 31 | 14 | +4 | 47 |
| 3, Championship round | Gangwon FC | 31 | 11 | +10 | 46 |
| 4, Championship round | Jeju SK | 31 | 12 | +5 | 46 |
| 6, Championship round | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 31 | 11 | +10 | 43 |
| 7, Relegation round | Incheon United | 31 | 11 | +6 | 42 |
| 8, Relegation round | FC Anyang | 31 | 10 | -8 | 41 |
K League 1 on the same day
- 6024161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- 5227211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- 5925161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.9
- 4729241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →