Turkish Super Lig, round 7 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Eryaman Stadyumu
Gençlerbirliği — Amed Sportif
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In short
Final score 2:2: the model's most likely outcome, Amed Sportif to win (52%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 52% fails in about 48 matches out of 100 on average.
Amed Sportif are clear favourites: 52% against 22% for the opponent, draw 26%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Amed Sportif are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Gençlerbirliği: 3 defeats in a row; Amed Sportif: unbeaten in 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Gençlerbirliği — Amed Sportif What is xG? | 1.2–1.9 | |
| Gençlerbirliği not to lose | 48% | |
| Amed Sportif not to lose | 78% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Gençlerbirliği
- Gençlerbirliği goals
- Amed Sportif goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 19.09away · Başakşehir0:4
- 13.09Kasımpaşa1:2
- 06.09away · Trabzonspor0:5
- 28.08Erzurumspor FK1:1
- 23.08away · Göztepe1:0
- 20.09Beşiktaş3:2
- 13.09Başakşehir5:0
- 06.09away · Kasımpaşa2:2
- 31.08Trabzonspor2:1
- 24.08away · Kocaelispor0:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Beşiktaş | 7 | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Amed Sportif | 7 | 4 | +8 | 14 |
| 4, Europa League or Conference League | Fenerbahçe | 7 | 4 | +13 | 13 |
| 12 | Gaziantep FK | 7 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Gençlerbirliği | 7 | 2 | -8 | 8 |
| 14 | Erzurumspor FK | 7 | 2 | -8 | 8 |
Next matches
- GençlerbirliğiGalatasaray17 October · Super Lig1222662The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
- Amed SportifKonyaspor17 October · Super Lig5923181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2
Super Lig on the same day
- 6025151The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.2
- 3228402The most likely outcome came true: 20:3Final score 0:3. Model's score: 1:2.2.8
- 2226522The most likely outcome came true: 20:3Final score 0:3. Model's score: 0:1.3.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →