K League 1 (South Korea), round 31 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Gimcheon Stadium
Gimcheon Sangmu — FC Anyang
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In short
Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, Gimcheon Sangmu to win (42%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 42% fails in about 58 matches out of 100 on average.
Gimcheon Sangmu are slightly stronger: 42% against 29%, draw 29%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Gimcheon Sangmu are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Gimcheon Sangmu: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Gimcheon Sangmu 2 wins, FC Anyang 1, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Gimcheon Sangmu — FC Anyang What is xG? | 1.5–1.3 | |
| Gimcheon Sangmu not to lose | 71% | |
| FC Anyang not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Gimcheon Sangmu
- Gimcheon Sangmu goals
- FC Anyang goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 19.09away · Bucheon FC 19952:0
- 13.09Gangwon FC2:2
- 09.09away · Pohang Steelers0:0
- 06.09Gwangju FC2:2
- 29.08away · Ulsan HD FC1:3
- 19.09Ulsan HD FC2:1
- 13.09away · Gwangju FC1:1
- 09.09away · Daejeon Hana Citizen2:3
- 06.09Gangwon FC0:3
- 29.08away · Bucheon FC 19951:1
Head to head
- 13.05.2026FC Anyang — Gimcheon Sangmu2:2
- 12.04.2026Gimcheon Sangmu — FC Anyang1:1
- 18.10.2025FC Anyang — Gimcheon Sangmu4:1
- 22.06.2025Gimcheon Sangmu — FC Anyang1:0
- 08.03.2025FC Anyang — Gimcheon Sangmu1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Relegation round | Incheon United | 31 | 11 | +6 | 42 |
| 8, Relegation round | FC Anyang | 31 | 10 | -8 | 41 |
| 9, Relegation round | Pohang Steelers | 31 | 11 | -9 | 40 |
| 10, Relegation round | Gimcheon Sangmu | 31 | 5 | -7 | 33 |
| 11, Relegation round | Bucheon FC 1995 | 31 | 7 | -11 | 32 |
Next matches
- FC SeoulGimcheon Sangmu18 October · K League 15925161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.8
- Pohang SteelersFC Anyang18 October · K League 14729241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
K League 1 on the same day
- 5925161The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →