Segunda Division, round 10 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Girona — FC Andorra

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Model prediction for 18 October

Girona47%
Draw28%
FC Andorra26%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Girona are clear favourites: 47% against 26% for the opponent, draw 28%.

2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 62%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Girona are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Girona — No. 7, 15 pts; FC Andorra — No. 17, 10 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
  • Girona: unbeaten in 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Girona — FC Andorra What is xG?1.6–1.3
Girona not to lose74%
FC Andorra not to lose53%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes62%
Both teams to score: no38%
Total over 2.557%
Total under 2.543%

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  • Handicap Girona
  • Girona goals
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Form

Girona

  • 12.10away · Tenerife1:1
  • 04.10Mallorca0:0
  • 25.09Albacete2:0
  • 19.09away · Cádiz2:1
  • 12.09Castellón1:2

FC Andorra

  • 11.10Castellón1:0
  • 04.10away · Sabadell0:0
  • 26.09away · Granada3:2
  • 19.09Sporting Gijón1:3
  • 12.09Real Sociedad B1:3

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
6, Promotion play-offsSporting Gijón95139–8+116
7Girona943215–9+615
8Burgos CF942312–10+214
16Leganés93246–14-811
17FC Andorra931513–15-210
18Córdoba930614–20-69

Season 2026/27

Full table

Segunda Division on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →