Polish Ekstraklasa, round 13 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
GKS Katowice — Widzew Łódź
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
GKS Katowice are slightly stronger: 41% against 28%, draw 30%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: GKS Katowice — No. 5, 18 pts; Widzew Łódź — No. 13, 9 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
- GKS Katowice: 3 wins in a row; Widzew Łódź: winless in 5.
- Last 4 meetings: GKS Katowice 1 win, Widzew Łódź 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: GKS Katowice — Widzew Łódź What is xG? | 1.5–1.2 | |
| GKS Katowice not to lose | 72% | |
| Widzew Łódź not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap GKS Katowice
- GKS Katowice goals
- Widzew Łódź goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 12.10Wieczysta Kraków2:1
- 09.10away · Raków Częstochowa4:1
- 19.09Cracovia3:2
- 12.09away · Zagłębie Lubin1:2
- 04.09away · Piast Gliwice0:3
- 11.10away · Piast Gliwice1:2
- 18.09Wieczysta Kraków2:2
- 13.09away · Legia Warszawa1:1
- 05.09Radomiak Radom0:0
- 30.08Lech Poznań2:3
Head to head
- 08.02.2026GKS Katowice — Widzew Łódź1:0
- 02.08.2025Widzew Łódź — GKS Katowice3:0
- 15.03.2025Widzew Łódź — GKS Katowice1:0
- 13.09.2024GKS Katowice — Widzew Łódź2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Europa League or Conference League | Pogoń Szczecin | 9 | 5 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 10 | 6 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 | Wisła Kraków | 10 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
| 12 | Wisła Płock | 9 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Widzew Łódź | 10 | 1 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 10 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
Ekstraklasa on the same day
- Wisła PłockPiast Gliwicepreliminary4330271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- Wieczysta KrakówJagiellonia Białystokpreliminary4727261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- Lech PoznańWisła Krakówpreliminary6422141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →