Norwegian Eliteserien, round 24 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Hamarkameratene — Bodø/Glimt

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Model prediction for 17 October

Hamarkameratene6%
Draw15%
Bodø/Glimt78%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Bodø/Glimt are clear favourites: 78% against 6% for the opponent, draw 15%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.6 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 68%, both teams to score — 57%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Bodø/Glimt are about 1.8 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Hamarkameratene — No. 11, 26 pts; Bodø/Glimt — No. 1, 53 pts. A gap of 27 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Hamarkameratene 1 win, Bodø/Glimt 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Hamarkameratene — Bodø/Glimt What is xG?0.9–2.7
Hamarkameratene not to lose22%
Bodø/Glimt not to lose94%
No draw85%
Both teams to score: yes57%
Both teams to score: no43%
Total over 2.568%
Total under 2.532%

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Form

Hamarkameratene

  • 11.10away · Start4:2
  • 20.09away · Tromsø2:3
  • 13.09Molde1:5
  • 05.09away · Rosenborg0:4
  • 30.08Kristiansund2:2

Bodø/Glimt

  • 10.10Kristiansund3:1
  • 20.09away · Brann1:2
  • 14.09Sandefjord3:2
  • 10.09away · Bayern München0:5
  • 04.09away · Fredrikstad2:1

Head to head

  • 22.07.2026Bodø/Glimt — Hamarkameratene3:0
  • 03.08.2025Hamarkameratene — Bodø/Glimt1:3
  • 05.04.2025Bodø/Glimt — Hamarkameratene3:0
  • 13.09.2024Bodø/Glimt — Hamarkameratene3:0
  • 20.05.2024Hamarkameratene — Bodø/Glimt1:0

Full record: 9 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1, Champions League qualifyingBodø/Glimt22172356–20+3653
2, Champions League qualifyingViking22172356–20+3653
10KFUM22841027–36-928
11Hamarkameratene22751033–46-1326
12Sandefjord22661022–28-624

Season 2026

Full table

Eliteserien on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 78% will not happen in roughly 22 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →