2. Bundesliga, round 8 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Hannover 96 — St. Pauli
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Hannover 96 are clear favourites: 47% against 26% for the opponent, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.6 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.
Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Hannover 96 are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Hannover 96 — No. 13, 7 pts; St. Pauli — No. 7, 10 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- St. Pauli: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Hannover 96 1 win, St. Pauli 2, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Hannover 96 — St. Pauli What is xG? | 1.5–1.1 | |
| Hannover 96 not to lose | 74% | |
| St. Pauli not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 48% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Hannover 96
- Hannover 96 goals
- St. Pauli goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Magdeburg0:3
- 20.09Bochum2:1
- 11.09away · 1. FC Nürnberg1:2
- 04.09Karlsruher SC2:2
- 30.08away · Darmstadt1:0
- 11.10Karlsruher SC2:0
- 20.09away · Energie Cottbus1:1
- 12.09Wolfsburg1:0
- 04.09away · Arminia Bielefeld2:2
- 30.08Kaiserslautern1:2
Head to head
- 21.04.2024Hannover 96 — St. Pauli1:2
- 10.11.2023St. Pauli — Hannover 960:0
- 05.02.2023St. Pauli — Hannover 962:0
- 23.07.2022Hannover 96 — St. Pauli2:2
- 20.02.2022St. Pauli — Hannover 960:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 7 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 7 | St. Pauli | 7 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 | Energie Cottbus | 7 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Bochum | 7 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Hannover 96 | 7 | 2 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Darmstadt | 7 | 2 | -6 | 7 |
2. Bundesliga on the same day
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- 4328281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 4225341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:14.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →