2. Bundesliga, round 8 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Greuther Fürth — Eintracht Braunschweig

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Model prediction for 17 October

Greuther Fürth45%
Draw27%
Eintracht Braunschweig28%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Greuther Fürth are slightly stronger: 45% against 28%, draw 27%.

3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 63%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Greuther Fürth are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Greuther Fürth — No. 15, 6 pts; Eintracht Braunschweig — No. 11, 7 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Greuther Fürth: winless in 4.
  • Last 5 meetings: Greuther Fürth 1 win, Eintracht Braunschweig 2, 2 draws.
  • Days of rest before the match: Greuther Fürth 6, Eintracht Braunschweig 8.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Greuther Fürth — Eintracht Braunschweig What is xG?1.7–1.3
Greuther Fürth not to lose72%
Eintracht Braunschweig not to lose55%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes63%
Both teams to score: no37%
Total over 2.560%
Total under 2.540%

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Form

Greuther Fürth

  • 11.10away · Hertha BSC1:2
  • 18.09Magdeburg1:1
  • 12.09away · Bochum1:1
  • 06.09FC Heidenheim0:1
  • 29.08away · Energie Cottbus4:3

Eintracht Braunschweig

  • 09.10Holstein Kiel1:0
  • 19.09away · Kaiserslautern0:1
  • 12.09Dynamo Dresden2:2
  • 06.09away · VfL Osnabrück1:3
  • 28.08Hertha BSC3:5

Head to head

  • 24.01.2026Greuther Fürth — Eintracht Braunschweig0:0
  • 09.08.2025Eintracht Braunschweig — Greuther Fürth3:2
  • 23.02.2025Greuther Fürth — Eintracht Braunschweig3:0
  • 21.09.2024Eintracht Braunschweig — Greuther Fürth2:0
  • 04.05.2024Greuther Fürth — Eintracht Braunschweig3:3

Full record: 8 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
10VfL Osnabrück722310–13-38
11Eintracht Braunschweig721413–1307
12Bochum72145–7-27
14Darmstadt72148–14-67
15Greuther Fürth713310–13-36
16, Relegation play-offDynamo Dresden71249–15-65

Season 2026/27

Full table

2. Bundesliga on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →