Ghana Premier League, round 9 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK

Heart of Lions — Bechem United

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Model prediction for 1 November

Heart of Lions57%
Draw24%
Bechem United19%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Heart of Lions are clear favourites: 57% against 19% for the opponent, draw 24%.

2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 42%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Heart of Lions are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Heart of Lions — No. 11, 8 pts; Bechem United — No. 7, 10 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Heart of Lions 2 wins, Bechem United 2, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Heart of Lions — Bechem United What is xG?1.6–0.8
Heart of Lions not to lose81%
Bechem United not to lose43%
No draw76%
Both teams to score: yes42%
Both teams to score: no58%
Total over 2.540%
Total under 2.560%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Heart of Lions
  • Heart of Lions goals
  • Bechem United goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Heart of Lions

  • 11.10away · Medeama SC1:3
  • 04.10Ashanti Gold3:2
  • 27.09away · Young Apostles2:1
  • 19.09All Blacks0:0
  • 13.09away · Asante Kotoko SC1:2

Bechem United

  • 11.10Vision FC4:2
  • 04.10away · Port City1:3
  • 27.09Dreams FC1:0
  • 20.09away · Hearts of Oak0:0
  • 13.09away · Karela United1:3

Head to head

  • 25.01.2026Bechem United — Heart of Lions1:0
  • 28.09.2025Heart of Lions — Bechem United1:0
  • 01.06.2025Heart of Lions — Bechem United2:1
  • 05.01.2025Bechem United — Heart of Lions3:0
  • 27.04.2024Bechem United — Heart of Lions1:1

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
6Aduana Stars63126–4+210
7Bechem United63128–8010
8Karela United63037–709
10All Blacks62224–408
11Heart of Lions62227–8-18
12Asante Kotoko SC62226–7-18

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ghana Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →