Ghana Premier League, round 7 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Heart of Lions — Berekum Chelsea
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Heart of Lions are clear favourites: 58% against 18% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 40%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Heart of Lions are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Heart of Lions — No. 11, 8 pts; Berekum Chelsea — No. 13, 7 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 5 meetings: Heart of Lions 2 wins, Berekum Chelsea 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Heart of Lions — Berekum Chelsea What is xG? | 1.5–0.7 | |
| Heart of Lions not to lose | 82% | |
| Berekum Chelsea not to lose | 42% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 40% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 60% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 38% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 62% |
91 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Heart of Lions
- Heart of Lions goals
- Berekum Chelsea goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 11.10away · Medeama SC1:3
- 04.10Ashanti Gold3:2
- 27.09away · Young Apostles2:1
- 19.09All Blacks0:0
- 13.09away · Asante Kotoko SC1:2
- 11.10Debibi3:0
- 04.10away · Holy Stars0:1
- 27.09Vision FC1:1
- 20.09away · Port City1:2
- 13.09Dreams FC3:1
Head to head
- 15.02.2026Berekum Chelsea — Heart of Lions2:1
- 09.11.2025Heart of Lions — Berekum Chelsea1:0
- 13.04.2025Berekum Chelsea — Heart of Lions1:0
- 10.11.2024Heart of Lions — Berekum Chelsea1:0
- 16.06.2024Berekum Chelsea — Heart of Lions2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | All Blacks | 6 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Heart of Lions | 6 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Asante Kotoko SC | 6 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Berekum Chelsea | 6 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 6 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
Ghana Premier League on the same day
- 5625191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
- 6421141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- 4128311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- 4528261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- 5525201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- 4429271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
- 5427191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
- 403327XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:01.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →