Serie B, round 10 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Hellas Verona — Carrarese
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Hellas Verona are clear favourites: 53% against 21% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Hellas Verona are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Hellas Verona — No. 9, 7 pts; Carrarese — No. 18, 4 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Hellas Verona — Carrarese What is xG? | 1.9–1.1 | |
| Hellas Verona not to lose | 79% | |
| Carrarese not to lose | 47% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Hellas Verona
- Hellas Verona goals
- Carrarese goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 11.10away · Modena2:3
- 20.09LR Vicenza2:1
- 11.09away · Benevento1:3
- 06.09Arezzo5:0
- 03.09away · Cagliari2:1
- 11.10away · Padova2:0
- 19.09Benevento0:1
- 12.09away · Catanzaro0:1
- 05.09Empoli0:1
- 29.08away · Ascoli1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Promotion play-offs | Benevento | 6 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 6 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 10 | Cesena | 6 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
| 17, Relegation play-off | LR Vicenza | 6 | 1 | -6 | 5 |
| 18, Relegation | Carrarese | 6 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 19, Relegation | Sampdoria | 6 | 1 | -7 | 4 |
Serie B on the same day
- ArezzoAscolipreliminary353035XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.5
- AvellinoPisapreliminary2930412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
- EmpoliJuve Stabiapreliminary3930311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- PalermoLR Vicenzapreliminary7019111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →