Nigeria NPFL, round 10 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Ikorodu City — Shooting Stars
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Ikorodu City are clear favourites: 71% against 10% for the opponent, draw 19%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.5 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 39%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Ikorodu City are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ikorodu City — Shooting Stars What is xG? | 1.9–0.6 | |
| Ikorodu City not to lose | 90% | |
| Shooting Stars not to lose | 29% | |
| No draw | 81% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 39% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 61% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Ikorodu City
- Ikorodu City goals
- Shooting Stars goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 10.10Kwara United2:0
- 04.10away · Rivers United FC0:2
- 30.09away · Sporting Lagos0:0
- 27.09Enugu Rangers2:0
- 23.09away · Bendel Insurance1:2
- 11.10away · Kun Khalifat0:2
- 07.10Kano Pillars0:0
- 04.10Nasarawa United0:0
- 30.09away · Enyimba2:4
- 27.09away · Warri Wolves FC0:1
Head to head
- 29.01.2026Ikorodu City — Shooting Stars1:0
- 07.09.2025Shooting Stars — Ikorodu City1:1
- 06.04.2025Shooting Stars — Ikorodu City0:0
- 17.11.2024Ikorodu City — Shooting Stars2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Doma United | 8 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | Ikorodu City | 8 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
| 7 | Bendel Insurance | 8 | 4 | +1 | 12 |
| 16 | Ranchers Bees | 8 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 17 | Shooting Stars | 8 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Kun Khalifat | 8 | 2 | -7 | 8 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoespreliminary5926151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.8
- BarauKwara Unitedpreliminary6523121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.0
- Bendel InsuranceRivers United FCpreliminary4928231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
- Katsina UnitedPlateau Unitedpreliminary5327201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
- Kun KhalifatInter Lagospreliminary761681The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- Nasarawa UnitedEnyimbapreliminary6223141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- Ranchers BeesDoma Unitedpreliminary6621131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- Warri Wolves FCKano Pillarspreliminary5527181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 71% will not happen in roughly 29 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →