Nigeria NPFL, round 10 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Bendel Insurance — Rivers United FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Bendel Insurance are clear favourites: 49% against 23% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 35%, both teams to score — 41%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Bendel Insurance are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bendel Insurance — Rivers United FC What is xG? | 1.3–0.8 | |
| Bendel Insurance not to lose | 77% | |
| Rivers United FC not to lose | 51% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 41% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 59% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 35% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 65% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Bendel Insurance
- Bendel Insurance goals
- Rivers United FC goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10away · Sporting Lagos1:2
- 04.10Barau4:1
- 27.09away · Abia Warriors0:3
- 23.09Ikorodu City2:1
- 19.09away · Ranchers Bees1:2
- 11.10away · Abia Warriors0:0
- 04.10Ikorodu City2:0
- 30.09away · Katsina United1:1
- 28.09away · Ranchers Bees0:0
- 24.09Kun Khalifat5:0
Head to head
- 08.03.2026Rivers United FC — Bendel Insurance3:1
- 06.11.2025Bendel Insurance — Rivers United FC0:0
- 30.01.2025Rivers United FC — Bendel Insurance2:2
- 08.09.2024Bendel Insurance — Rivers United FC0:0
- 12.06.2024Bendel Insurance — Rivers United FC2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enugu Rangers | 8 | 5 | +5 | 17 |
| 2 | Rivers United FC | 8 | 4 | +11 | 16 |
| 3 | Plateau United | 8 | 4 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 | Ikorodu City | 8 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
| 7 | Bendel Insurance | 8 | 4 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 | Sporting Lagos | 8 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoespreliminary5926151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.8
- BarauKwara Unitedpreliminary6523121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.0
- Ikorodu CityShooting Starspreliminary7119101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- Katsina UnitedPlateau Unitedpreliminary5327201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
- Kun KhalifatInter Lagospreliminary761681The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- Nasarawa UnitedEnyimbapreliminary6223141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- Ranchers BeesDoma Unitedpreliminary6621131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- Warri Wolves FCKano Pillarspreliminary5527181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →