Nigeria NPFL, round 10 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Nasarawa United — Enyimba
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Nasarawa United are clear favourites: 62% against 14% for the opponent, draw 23%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 40%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Nasarawa United are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Nasarawa United — Enyimba What is xG? | 1.7–0.7 | |
| Nasarawa United not to lose | 86% | |
| Enyimba not to lose | 38% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 40% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 60% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 41% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 59% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Nasarawa United
- Nasarawa United goals
- Enyimba goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Doma United2:0
- 04.10away · Shooting Stars0:0
- 27.09Niger Tornadoes1:0
- 23.09away · Kwara United1:2
- 20.09Rivers United FC1:1
- 09.10away · Katsina United2:4
- 04.10Plateau United2:0
- 30.09Shooting Stars4:2
- 27.09away · Kano Pillars0:0
- 23.09Sporting Lagos2:3
Head to head
- 28.01.2026Nasarawa United — Enyimba1:1
- 07.09.2025Enyimba — Nasarawa United0:0
- 11.05.2025Nasarawa United — Enyimba3:2
- 08.01.2025Enyimba — Nasarawa United2:1
- 29.03.2023Enyimba — Nasarawa United1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kano Pillars | 8 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 | Nasarawa United | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Kwara United | 8 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 18 | Kun Khalifat | 8 | 2 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Enyimba | 8 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 20 | Inter Lagos | 8 | 1 | -8 | 5 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoespreliminary5926151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.8
- BarauKwara Unitedpreliminary6523121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.0
- Bendel InsuranceRivers United FCpreliminary4928231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
- Ikorodu CityShooting Starspreliminary7119101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- Katsina UnitedPlateau Unitedpreliminary5327201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
- Kun KhalifatInter Lagospreliminary761681The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- Ranchers BeesDoma Unitedpreliminary6621131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- Warri Wolves FCKano Pillarspreliminary5527181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →