Nigeria NPFL, round 10 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Katsina United — Plateau United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Katsina United are clear favourites: 54% against 19% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 41%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Katsina United are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Katsina United — No. 9, 12 pts; Plateau United — No. 3, 14 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Katsina United: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Katsina United 3 wins, Plateau United 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Katsina United — Plateau United What is xG? | 1.4–0.8 | |
| Katsina United not to lose | 81% | |
| Plateau United not to lose | 46% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 41% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 59% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 37% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 63% |
91 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Katsina United
- Katsina United goals
- Plateau United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 09.10Enyimba4:2
- 04.10away · Inter Lagos1:1
- 30.09Rivers United FC1:1
- 27.09Doma United2:1
- 23.09away · Shooting Stars0:2
- 11.10Kano Pillars4:0
- 04.10away · Enyimba0:2
- 27.09Inter Lagos2:0
- 23.09away · Doma United2:2
- 20.09Shooting Stars3:1
Head to head
- 24.01.2026Katsina United — Plateau United0:0
- 31.08.2025Plateau United — Katsina United1:2
- 30.01.2025Katsina United — Plateau United1:0
- 08.09.2024Plateau United — Katsina United1:0
- 17.03.2024Katsina United — Plateau United2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rivers United FC | 8 | 4 | +11 | 16 |
| 3 | Plateau United | 8 | 4 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 | Barau | 8 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 | Sporting Lagos | 8 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 | Katsina United | 8 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Kano Pillars | 8 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoespreliminary6026141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
- BarauKwara Unitedpreliminary6523121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
- Bendel InsuranceRivers United FCpreliminary4928221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
- Ikorodu CityShooting Starspreliminary7119101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- Kun KhalifatInter Lagospreliminary761681The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.6
- Nasarawa UnitedEnyimbapreliminary6223151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- Ranchers BeesDoma Unitedpreliminary6621131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- Warri Wolves FCKano Pillarspreliminary5527181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →