Nigeria NPFL, round 9 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Inter Lagos — Nasarawa United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Evenly matched: Inter Lagos 36%, Nasarawa United 32%, draw 32%.
1.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 31%, both teams to score — 38%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Inter Lagos — No. 20, 5 pts; Nasarawa United — No. 11, 11 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Inter Lagos: winless in 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Inter Lagos — Nasarawa United What is xG? | 1.0–0.9 | |
| Inter Lagos not to lose | 68% | |
| Nasarawa United not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 38% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 62% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 31% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 69% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Inter Lagos
- Inter Lagos goals
- Nasarawa United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Warri Wolves FC1:3
- 04.10Katsina United1:1
- 27.09away · Plateau United0:2
- 23.09Kano Pillars1:1
- 20.09away · Enyimba1:0
- 11.10Doma United2:0
- 04.10away · Shooting Stars0:0
- 27.09Niger Tornadoes1:0
- 23.09away · Kwara United1:2
- 20.09Rivers United FC1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kano Pillars | 8 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 | Nasarawa United | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Kwara United | 8 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 19 | Enyimba | 8 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 20 | Inter Lagos | 8 | 1 | -8 | 5 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- 6223151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- 6323141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- 6324131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
- 4929221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
- 6920111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- 731791The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 6921101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
- 5925171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →