Nigeria NPFL, round 11 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Inter Lagos — Ranchers Bees
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Inter Lagos 37%, Ranchers Bees 32%, draw 32%.
2.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 32%, both teams to score — 41%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Inter Lagos — Ranchers Bees What is xG? | 1.0–0.9 | |
| Inter Lagos not to lose | 68% | |
| Ranchers Bees not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 41% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 59% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 32% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 68% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Inter Lagos
- Inter Lagos goals
- Ranchers Bees goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Warri Wolves FC1:3
- 04.10Katsina United1:1
- 27.09away · Plateau United0:2
- 23.09Kano Pillars1:1
- 20.09away · Enyimba1:0
- 10.10Niger Tornadoes0:0
- 04.10away · Kwara United1:2
- 28.09Rivers United FC0:0
- 23.09away · Enugu Rangers0:1
- 19.09Bendel Insurance2:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Abia Warriors | 8 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Ranchers Bees | 8 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 17 | Shooting Stars | 8 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 19 | Enyimba | 8 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 20 | Inter Lagos | 8 | 1 | -8 | 5 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- EnyimbaKun Khalifatpreliminary6122161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- Kano PillarsNasarawa Unitedpreliminary5826171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
- Katsina UnitedSporting Lagospreliminary6024161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- Kwara UnitedBendel Insurancepreliminary5626181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.2
- Niger TornadoesBaraupreliminary4731221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.6
- Plateau UnitedWarri Wolves FCpreliminary6921111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- Rivers United FCEnugu Rangerspreliminary6323141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
- Shooting StarsAbia Warriorspreliminary6224151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →