Nigeria NPFL, round 11 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Kano Pillars — Nasarawa United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Kano Pillars are clear favourites: 58% against 17% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 35%, both teams to score — 37%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Kano Pillars are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kano Pillars — Nasarawa United What is xG? | 1.4–0.7 | |
| Kano Pillars not to lose | 83% | |
| Nasarawa United not to lose | 42% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 37% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 63% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 35% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 65% |
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- Kano Pillars goals
- Nasarawa United goals
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Form
- 11.10away · Plateau United0:4
- 07.10away · Shooting Stars0:0
- 03.10Sporting Lagos1:1
- 27.09Enyimba0:0
- 23.09away · Inter Lagos1:1
- 11.10Doma United2:0
- 04.10away · Shooting Stars0:0
- 27.09Niger Tornadoes1:0
- 23.09away · Kwara United1:2
- 20.09Rivers United FC1:1
Head to head
- 14.01.2026Nasarawa United — Kano Pillars0:1
- 28.12.2025Kano Pillars — Nasarawa United3:0
- 16.03.2025Kano Pillars — Nasarawa United1:1
- 27.10.2024Nasarawa United — Kano Pillars1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Katsina United | 8 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Kano Pillars | 8 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 | Nasarawa United | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Kwara United | 8 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- EnyimbaKun Khalifatpreliminary6122161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- Inter LagosRanchers Beespreliminary373232XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.0
- Katsina UnitedSporting Lagospreliminary6024161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- Kwara UnitedBendel Insurancepreliminary5626181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.2
- Niger TornadoesBaraupreliminary4731221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.6
- Plateau UnitedWarri Wolves FCpreliminary6921111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- Rivers United FCEnugu Rangerspreliminary6323141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
- Shooting StarsAbia Warriorspreliminary6224151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →