Nigeria NPFL, round 11 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Shooting Stars — Abia Warriors
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Shooting Stars are clear favourites: 62% against 15% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 35%, both teams to score — 35%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Shooting Stars are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Shooting Stars — Abia Warriors What is xG? | 1.5–0.6 | |
| Shooting Stars not to lose | 85% | |
| Abia Warriors not to lose | 38% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 35% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 65% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 35% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 65% |
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Form
- 11.10away · Kun Khalifat0:2
- 07.10Kano Pillars0:0
- 04.10Nasarawa United0:0
- 30.09away · Enyimba2:4
- 27.09away · Warri Wolves FC0:1
- 11.10Rivers United FC0:0
- 04.10away · Enugu Rangers1:3
- 27.09Bendel Insurance3:0
- 23.09away · Barau0:2
- 20.09away · Sporting Lagos2:0
Head to head
- 08.03.2026Abia Warriors — Shooting Stars2:0
- 19.10.2025Shooting Stars — Abia Warriors2:0
- 27.04.2025Abia Warriors — Shooting Stars3:1
- 01.12.2024Shooting Stars — Abia Warriors2:0
- 02.06.2024Shooting Stars — Abia Warriors4:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Niger Tornadoes | 8 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | Abia Warriors | 8 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Ranchers Bees | 8 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 17 | Shooting Stars | 8 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Kun Khalifat | 8 | 2 | -7 | 8 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- EnyimbaKun Khalifatpreliminary6122161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- Inter LagosRanchers Beespreliminary373232XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.0
- Kano PillarsNasarawa Unitedpreliminary5826171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
- Katsina UnitedSporting Lagospreliminary6024161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- Kwara UnitedBendel Insurancepreliminary5626181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.2
- Niger TornadoesBaraupreliminary4731221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.6
- Plateau UnitedWarri Wolves FCpreliminary6921111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- Rivers United FCEnugu Rangerspreliminary6323141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →