Nigeria NPFL, round 11 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Plateau United — Warri Wolves FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Plateau United are clear favourites: 69% against 11% for the opponent, draw 21%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 32%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Plateau United are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Plateau United — Warri Wolves FC What is xG? | 1.7–0.5 | |
| Plateau United not to lose | 89% | |
| Warri Wolves FC not to lose | 31% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 32% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 68% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 37% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 63% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Plateau United
- Plateau United goals
- Warri Wolves FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Kano Pillars4:0
- 04.10away · Enyimba0:2
- 27.09Inter Lagos2:0
- 23.09away · Doma United2:2
- 20.09Shooting Stars3:1
- 11.10Inter Lagos3:1
- 04.10away · Doma United0:1
- 30.09Enugu Rangers0:1
- 27.09Shooting Stars1:0
- 23.09away · Niger Tornadoes0:0
Head to head
- 03.05.2026Warri Wolves FC — Plateau United1:0
- 07.12.2025Plateau United — Warri Wolves FC1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rivers United FC | 8 | 4 | +11 | 16 |
| 3 | Plateau United | 8 | 4 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 | Barau | 8 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 12 | Kwara United | 8 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Warri Wolves FC | 8 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Niger Tornadoes | 8 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- EnyimbaKun Khalifatpreliminary6122161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- Inter LagosRanchers Beespreliminary373232XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.0
- Kano PillarsNasarawa Unitedpreliminary5826171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
- Katsina UnitedSporting Lagospreliminary6024161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- Kwara UnitedBendel Insurancepreliminary5626181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.2
- Niger TornadoesBaraupreliminary4731221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.6
- Rivers United FCEnugu Rangerspreliminary6323141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
- Shooting StarsAbia Warriorspreliminary6224151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →