Major League Soccer (MLS), round 32 · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Inter Miami CF — FC Cincinnati
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Inter Miami CF are clear favourites: 59% against 20% for the opponent, draw 21%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 4.4 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 81%, both teams to score — 78%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Inter Miami CF are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Inter Miami CF — FC Cincinnati What is xG? | 2.7–1.7 | |
| Inter Miami CF not to lose | 80% | |
| FC Cincinnati not to lose | 41% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 22% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 81% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 19% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Inter Miami CF
- Inter Miami CF goals
- FC Cincinnati goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10DC United4:0
- 28.09away · Columbus Crew1:2
- 21.09San Diego FC2:2
- 13.09Nashville SC2:2
- 10.09away · Chicago Fire FC1:1
- 11.10away · Atlanta United3:1
- 27.09away · CF Montréal1:3
- 20.09away · Houston Dynamo FC2:2
- 13.09Charlotte FC3:3
- 10.09away · Philadelphia Union0:5
Head to head
- 14.05.2026FC Cincinnati — Inter Miami CF3:5
- 24.11.2025FC Cincinnati — Inter Miami CF0:4
- 27.07.2025Inter Miami CF — FC Cincinnati0:0
- 17.07.2025FC Cincinnati — Inter Miami CF3:0
- 25.08.2024Inter Miami CF — FC Cincinnati2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | St. Louis City | 28 | 14 | +16 | 50 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Inter Miami CF | 28 | 13 | +18 | 49 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Chicago Fire FC | 28 | 14 | +11 | 48 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Orlando City | 28 | 11 | -15 | 37 |
| 16, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | -7 | 36 |
| 17, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | LA Galaxy | 29 | 9 | -11 | 36 |
MLS on the same day
- Charlotte FCCF Montréalpreliminary5525201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- New England RevolutionRed Bull New Yorkpreliminary5025241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.4
- New York City FCAtlanta Unitedpreliminary5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- Toronto FCDC Unitedpreliminary4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- Austin FCReal Salt Lakepreliminary3229382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- Chicago Fire FCOrlando Citypreliminary5523221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.8
- FC DallasColumbus Crewpreliminary4130291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- Minnesota UnitedSporting Kansas Citypreliminary6420161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →