Major League Soccer (MLS), round 32 · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
New England Revolution — Red Bull New York
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
New England Revolution are clear favourites: 50% against 24% for the opponent, draw 25%.
3.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 68%.
Why
- By the strength ratings New England Revolution are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: New England Revolution — No. 9, 46 pts; Red Bull New York — No. 18, 36 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: New England Revolution 2 wins, Red Bull New York 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: New England Revolution — Red Bull New York What is xG? | 2.0–1.4 | |
| New England Revolution not to lose | 76% | |
| Red Bull New York not to lose | 50% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 32% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 67% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 33% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap New England Revolution
- New England Revolution goals
- Red Bull New York goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Seattle Sounders FC0:3
- 27.09away · Real Salt Lake0:3
- 20.09Orlando City4:2
- 14.09away · Chicago Fire FC2:1
- 10.09away · New York City FC2:1
- 11.10San Diego FC4:1
- 01.10St. Louis City0:3
- 19.09away · New York City FC1:0
- 13.09away · Columbus Crew1:0
- 10.09away · Los Angeles FC0:2
Head to head
- 28.02.2026Red Bull New York — New England Revolution1:0
- 17.07.2025Red Bull New York — New England Revolution5:3
- 29.03.2025New England Revolution — Red Bull New York2:1
- 09.06.2024New England Revolution — Red Bull New York1:0
- 12.05.2024Red Bull New York — New England Revolution4:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Charlotte FC | 28 | 13 | +10 | 46 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | +6 | 46 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Houston Dynamo FC | 28 | 13 | +2 | 45 |
| 17, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | LA Galaxy | 29 | 9 | -11 | 36 |
| 18, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | Red Bull New York | 28 | 10 | -14 | 36 |
| 19 | New York City FC | 28 | 8 | +4 | 33 |
MLS on the same day
- Charlotte FCCF Montréalpreliminary5525201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- Inter Miami CFFC Cincinnatipreliminary5921201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:24.4
- New York City FCAtlanta Unitedpreliminary5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- Toronto FCDC Unitedpreliminary4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- Austin FCReal Salt Lakepreliminary3229382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- Chicago Fire FCOrlando Citypreliminary5523221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.8
- FC DallasColumbus Crewpreliminary4130291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- Minnesota UnitedSporting Kansas Citypreliminary6420161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →