Major League Soccer (MLS), round 32 · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Austin FC — Real Salt Lake
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Austin FC 32%, Real Salt Lake 38%, draw 29%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Real Salt Lake are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Austin FC — Real Salt Lake What is xG? | 1.4–1.6 | |
| Austin FC not to lose | 62% | |
| Real Salt Lake not to lose | 68% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Austin FC
- Austin FC goals
- Real Salt Lake goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10Nashville SC1:4
- 27.09San Diego FC3:3
- 20.09away · FC Dallas0:0
- 14.09away · Vancouver Whitecaps2:1
- 10.09Colorado Rapids1:1
- 11.10away · Philadelphia Union1:2
- 27.09New England Revolution3:0
- 24.09away · Seattle Sounders FC0:2
- 20.09Vancouver Whitecaps0:3
- 13.09New York City FC0:2
Head to head
- 15.03.2026Real Salt Lake — Austin FC2:1
- 28.09.2025Real Salt Lake — Austin FC3:1
- 29.05.2025Austin FC — Real Salt Lake1:1
- 29.09.2024Austin FC — Real Salt Lake2:2
- 02.06.2024Real Salt Lake — Austin FC5:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | San Diego FC | 28 | 8 | -3 | 32 |
| 22 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | -5 | 32 |
| 23 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | -11 | 32 |
| 24 | Austin FC | 28 | 7 | -15 | 31 |
| 25 | Minnesota United | 28 | 7 | -9 | 30 |
MLS on the same day
- Charlotte FCCF Montréalpreliminary5525201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- Inter Miami CFFC Cincinnatipreliminary5921201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:24.4
- New England RevolutionRed Bull New Yorkpreliminary5025241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.4
- New York City FCAtlanta Unitedpreliminary5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- Toronto FCDC Unitedpreliminary4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- Chicago Fire FCOrlando Citypreliminary5523221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.8
- FC DallasColumbus Crewpreliminary4130291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- Minnesota UnitedSporting Kansas Citypreliminary6420161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →