Major League Soccer (MLS), round 32 · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Toronto FC — DC United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Toronto FC are slightly stronger: 40% against 30%, draw 30%.
The model expects few goals: 2.6 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Toronto FC — DC United What is xG? | 1.4–1.2 | |
| Toronto FC not to lose | 70% | |
| DC United not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Toronto FC
- Toronto FC goals
- DC United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 10.10CF Montréal2:1
- 27.09away · Nashville SC0:2
- 20.09away · St. Louis City1:3
- 13.09away · Orlando City0:3
- 10.09Nashville SC2:1
- 11.10away · Inter Miami CF0:4
- 27.09away · Vancouver Whitecaps3:3
- 20.09Charlotte FC1:2
- 13.09Atlanta United0:0
- 10.09Columbus Crew2:1
Head to head
- 26.07.2026DC United — Toronto FC2:1
- 10.05.2025Toronto FC — DC United2:0
- 23.02.2025DC United — Toronto FC2:2
- 01.09.2024Toronto FC — DC United1:3
- 02.06.2024DC United — Toronto FC2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | -5 | 32 |
| 23 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | -11 | 32 |
| 24 | Austin FC | 28 | 7 | -15 | 31 |
| 25 | Minnesota United | 28 | 7 | -9 | 30 |
| 26 | DC United | 27 | 6 | -12 | 30 |
| 27 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | -5 | 29 |
MLS on the same day
- Charlotte FCCF Montréalpreliminary5525201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- Inter Miami CFFC Cincinnatipreliminary5921201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:24.4
- New England RevolutionRed Bull New Yorkpreliminary5025241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.4
- New York City FCAtlanta Unitedpreliminary5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- Austin FCReal Salt Lakepreliminary3229382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- Chicago Fire FCOrlando Citypreliminary5523221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.8
- FC DallasColumbus Crewpreliminary4130291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- Minnesota UnitedSporting Kansas Citypreliminary6420161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →