Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK
Internacional de Bogotá — Fortaleza FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Internacional de Bogotá are clear favourites: 46% against 25% for the opponent, draw 29%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Internacional de Bogotá — No. 13, 14 pts; Fortaleza FC — No. 16, 11 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Internacional de Bogotá: winless in 5; Fortaleza FC: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Internacional de Bogotá 0 wins, Fortaleza FC 3, 2 draws.
- Days of rest before the match: Internacional de Bogotá 10, Fortaleza FC 12.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Internacional de Bogotá — Fortaleza FC What is xG? | 1.4–1.0 | |
| Internacional de Bogotá not to lose | 75% | |
| Fortaleza FC not to lose | 54% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Internacional de Bogotá
- Internacional de Bogotá goals
- Fortaleza FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Junior FC2:2
- 05.10Once Caldas1:1
- 27.09away · Deportivo Pereira0:0
- 21.09away · Bucaramanga0:2
- 17.09Atlético Nacional2:3
- 09.10Millonarios1:1
- 04.10away · Deportivo Pasto0:0
- 28.09Tolima2:2
- 20.09Junior FC1:4
- 12.09away · CD Jaguares2:2
Head to head
- 04.04.2026Fortaleza FC — Internacional de Bogotá1:1
- 30.10.2025Internacional de Bogotá — Fortaleza FC0:1
- 08.09.2025Fortaleza FC — Internacional de Bogotá1:0
- 11.05.2025Fortaleza FC — Internacional de Bogotá4:0
- 23.03.2025Internacional de Bogotá — Fortaleza FC1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Llaneros FC | 13 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogotá | 14 | 2 | -4 | 14 |
| 14 | Chicó FC | 12 | 3 | -9 | 12 |
| 15 | Alianza FC | 13 | 3 | -12 | 12 |
| 16 | Fortaleza FC | 13 | 1 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Junior FC | 12 | 2 | -4 | 10 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- Deportivo PereiraChicó FCpreliminary4629251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- CúcutaAtlético Nacionalpreliminary2026542The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →