Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK

Deportivo Pereira — Chicó FC

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Model prediction for 21 October

Deportivo Pereira46%
Draw29%
Chicó FC25%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Deportivo Pereira are clear favourites: 46% against 25% for the opponent, draw 29%.

2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 47%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Deportivo Pereira are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Deportivo Pereira — No. 20, 9 pts; Chicó FC — No. 14, 12 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
  • Deportivo Pereira: winless in 5.
  • Last 5 meetings: Deportivo Pereira 2 wins, Chicó FC 1, 2 draws.
  • Days of rest before the match: Deportivo Pereira 11, Chicó FC 9.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Deportivo Pereira — Chicó FC What is xG?1.3–0.9
Deportivo Pereira not to lose75%
Chicó FC not to lose54%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes47%
Both teams to score: no53%
Total over 2.541%
Total under 2.559%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Deportivo Pereira
  • Deportivo Pereira goals
  • Chicó FC goals
  • Corners and cards
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Form

Deportivo Pereira

  • 10.10Deportivo Cali0:0
  • 05.10away · Cúcuta0:4
  • 29.09Santa Fe1:2
  • 27.09Internacional de Bogotá0:0
  • 19.09away · Águilas Doradas2:2

Chicó FC

  • 12.10Cúcuta0:1
  • 04.10away · Tolima0:0
  • 26.09Deportivo Pasto3:0
  • 19.09away · Millonarios0:3
  • 16.09Alianza FC1:2

Head to head

  • 02.04.2026Chicó FC — Deportivo Pereira1:0
  • 22.09.2025Chicó FC — Deportivo Pereira1:1
  • 06.04.2025Deportivo Pereira — Chicó FC1:1
  • 07.08.2024Deportivo Pereira — Chicó FC1:0
  • 06.02.2024Chicó FC — Deportivo Pereira1:2

Full record: 7 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026 (Clausura)
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
13Internacional de Bogotá1428416–20-414
14Chicó FC1233610–19-912
15Alianza FC1333714–26-1212
19Deportivo Pasto122379–18-99
20Deportivo Pereira121657–17-109

Season 2026 (Clausura)

Full table

Colombian Primera A on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →