Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK
Cúcuta — Atlético Nacional
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Atlético Nacional are clear favourites: 55% against 20% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Atlético Nacional are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cúcuta — Atlético Nacional What is xG? | 1.0–1.8 | |
| Cúcuta not to lose | 45% | |
| Atlético Nacional not to lose | 80% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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- Handicap Cúcuta
- Cúcuta goals
- Atlético Nacional goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 12.10away · Chicó FC1:0
- 05.10Deportivo Pereira4:0
- 27.09Llaneros FC2:1
- 20.09away · Deportivo Cali0:3
- 14.09Millonarios1:2
- 09.10Tolima0:0
- 01.10Junior FC3:1
- 25.09Millonarios1:1
- 21.09away · Llaneros FC0:2
- 17.09away · Internacional de Bogotá3:2
Head to head
- 02.04.2026Atlético Nacional — Cúcuta0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Semi-final groups | Deportivo Cali | 13 | 7 | +11 | 25 |
| 3, Semi-final groups | Atlético Nacional | 11 | 7 | +11 | 23 |
| 4, Semi-final groups | Bucaramanga | 11 | 6 | +10 | 23 |
| 8, Semi-final groups | Tolima | 14 | 5 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 | Cúcuta | 13 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- Deportivo PereiraChicó FCpreliminary4529261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- Internacional de BogotáFortaleza FCpreliminary4629251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →