Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Monday, 5 October, MSK · Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
Internacional de Bogotá — Once Caldas
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In short
Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, Once Caldas to win (36%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 36% fails in about 64 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: Internacional de Bogotá 35%, Once Caldas 36%, draw 29%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Internacional de Bogotá 0 wins, Once Caldas 4, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Internacional de Bogotá — Once Caldas What is xG? | 1.3–1.3 | |
| Internacional de Bogotá not to lose | 64% | |
| Once Caldas not to lose | 65% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Internacional de Bogotá
- Internacional de Bogotá goals
- Once Caldas goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 27.09away · Deportivo Pereira0:0
- 21.09away · Bucaramanga0:2
- 17.09Atlético Nacional2:3
- 13.09Llaneros FC3:2
- 07.09Águilas Doradas2:2
- 26.09Bucaramanga1:3
- 20.09away · Deportivo Pasto0:1
- 17.09Tolima1:0
- 14.09Deportivo Cali1:2
- 06.09away · Chicó FC0:2
Head to head
- 21.04.2026Once Caldas — Internacional de Bogotá2:1
- 07.10.2025Internacional de Bogotá — Once Caldas0:1
- 17.04.2025Once Caldas — Internacional de Bogotá3:0
- 04.08.2024Internacional de Bogotá — Once Caldas1:1
- 01.06.2024Internacional de Bogotá — Once Caldas1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cúcuta | 13 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 13 | 3 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Llaneros FC | 13 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogotá | 14 | 2 | -4 | 14 |
| 14 | Chicó FC | 12 | 3 | -9 | 12 |
Next matches
- Once CaldasLlaneros FC10 October · Colombian Primera A5427191The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.5
- Junior FCInternacional de Bogotá11 October · Colombian Primera A6023171The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 2:1.3.0
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- 4827241The most likely outcome came true: 14:0Final score 4:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
- 4529261The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.5
- 3030402The most likely outcome came true: 21:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 1:2, exactly right.2.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →