Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Estadio Romelio Martínez
Junior FC — Internacional de Bogotá
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In short
Final score 2:2: the model's most likely outcome, Junior FC to win (60%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 60% fails in about 40 matches out of 100 on average.
Junior FC are clear favourites: 60% against 17% for the opponent, draw 23%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Junior FC are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Internacional de Bogotá: winless in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Junior FC 3 wins, Internacional de Bogotá 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Junior FC — Internacional de Bogotá What is xG? | 2.0–1.0 | |
| Junior FC not to lose | 83% | |
| Internacional de Bogotá not to lose | 40% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Junior FC
- Junior FC goals
- Internacional de Bogotá goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 05.10away · Bucaramanga1:3
- 01.10away · Atlético Nacional1:3
- 27.09Independiente Medellín2:0
- 20.09away · Fortaleza FC4:1
- 13.09away · Alianza FC0:1
- 05.10Once Caldas1:1
- 27.09away · Deportivo Pereira0:0
- 21.09away · Bucaramanga0:2
- 17.09Atlético Nacional2:3
- 13.09Llaneros FC3:2
Head to head
- 30.03.2026Internacional de Bogotá — Junior FC0:1
- 13.09.2025Junior FC — Internacional de Bogotá1:1
- 01.04.2025Internacional de Bogotá — Junior FC0:1
- 13.10.2024Internacional de Bogotá — Junior FC1:0
- 30.03.2024Junior FC — Internacional de Bogotá1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Llaneros FC | 13 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogotá | 14 | 2 | -4 | 14 |
| 14 | Chicó FC | 12 | 3 | -9 | 12 |
| 16 | Fortaleza FC | 13 | 1 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Junior FC | 12 | 2 | -4 | 10 |
| 18 | CD Jaguares | 12 | 2 | -8 | 10 |
Next matches
- Junior FCDeportivo Pereira15 October · Colombian Primera A7019111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- Internacional de BogotáFortaleza FC21 October · Colombian Primera A · preliminary4629251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →