Tanzania Premier League, round 8 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

JKT Tanzania — Mbeya City

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Model prediction for 18 October

JKT Tanzania53%
Draw28%
Mbeya City19%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

JKT Tanzania are clear favourites: 53% against 19% for the opponent, draw 28%.

2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 43%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings JKT Tanzania are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: JKT Tanzania — No. 9, 10 pts; Mbeya City — No. 8, 10 pts.
  • Last 2 meetings: JKT Tanzania 1 win, Mbeya City 0, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: JKT Tanzania — Mbeya City What is xG?1.4–0.8
JKT Tanzania not to lose81%
Mbeya City not to lose47%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes43%
Both teams to score: no57%
Total over 2.540%
Total under 2.560%

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  • Handicap JKT Tanzania
  • JKT Tanzania goals
  • Mbeya City goals
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Form

JKT Tanzania

  • 09.10away · Fountain Gate FC2:1
  • 12.09away · Coastal Union1:2
  • 05.09Pamba Jiji3:0
  • 29.08Namungo FC2:1
  • 24.08away · Young Africans0:4

Mbeya City

  • 09.10Kagera Sugar1:3
  • 12.09away · Polisi Tanzania FC0:2
  • 04.09away · TRA United0:0
  • 28.08away · Fountain Gate FC2:0
  • 23.08Mashujaa2:1

Head to head

  • 09.05.2026JKT Tanzania — Mbeya City1:0
  • 24.10.2025Mbeya City — JKT Tanzania2:2

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
7Polisi Tanzania FC731310–9+110
8Mbeya City73137–7010
9JKT Tanzania73139–11-210
10Coastal Union83147–11-410

Season 2026/27

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →