Tanzania Premier League, round 8 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
JKT Tanzania — Mbeya City
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
JKT Tanzania are clear favourites: 53% against 19% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 34%, both teams to score — 39%.
Why
- By the strength ratings JKT Tanzania are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: JKT Tanzania — Mbeya City What is xG? | 1.4–0.7 | |
| JKT Tanzania not to lose | 81% | |
| Mbeya City not to lose | 47% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 39% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 61% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 34% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 66% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap JKT Tanzania
- JKT Tanzania goals
- Mbeya City goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10away · Fountain Gate FC2:1
- 12.09away · Coastal Union1:2
- 05.09Pamba Jiji3:0
- 29.08Namungo FC2:1
- 24.08away · Young Africans0:4
- 09.10Kagera Sugar1:3
- 12.09away · Polisi Tanzania FC0:2
- 04.09away · TRA United0:0
- 28.08away · Fountain Gate FC2:0
- 23.08Mashujaa2:1
Head to head
- 09.05.2026JKT Tanzania — Mbeya City1:0
- 24.10.2025Mbeya City — JKT Tanzania2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Polisi Tanzania FC | 7 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 8 | Mbeya City | 7 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | JKT Tanzania | 7 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | Coastal Union | 8 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →