Botola Pro (Morocco), round 3 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Stade de Marrakech
KACM — Ittihad Tanger
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:1Missed
In short
Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (33%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 33% fails in about 67 matches out of 100 on average.
KACM are slightly stronger: 38% against 29%, draw 33%.
The model expects few goals: 1.8 in total, against a competition average of 2.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 27%, both teams to score — 37%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: KACM — Ittihad Tanger What is xG? | 1.0–0.8 | |
| KACM not to lose | 71% | |
| Ittihad Tanger not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 37% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 63% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 27% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 73% |
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Form
- 03.10away · CODM Meknès1:0
- 27.09Hassania Agadir2:3
- 05.07away · Hassania Agadir1:1
- 02.07MAS Fès0:0
- 28.06away · Difaâ El Jadida1:1
- 02.10MAT Tetouan1:1
- 24.09away · US Amal Tiznit3:1
- 05.07CODM Meknès2:1
- 02.07away · Union Touarga Sport0:1
- 28.06Raja Casablanca1:1
Head to head
- 17.06.2026KACM — Ittihad Tanger0:2
- 01.02.2026Ittihad Tanger — KACM0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, CAF Confederation Cup | Union Touarga Sport | 3 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 4 | KACM | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 5 | Raja Casablanca | 3 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 6 | CODM Meknès | 3 | 1 | +3 | 4 |
| 7 | Ittihad Tanger | 3 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 8 | FAR Rabat | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
Next matches
- Ittihad TangerMAS Fès14 October · Botola Pro2332452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:11.9
- Widad TemaraKACM18 October · Botola Pro343432XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:11.8
Botola Pro on the same day
- 353134XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X2:5Final score 2:5. Model's score: 1:1.2.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →