Botola Pro (Morocco), round 3 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Stade El Massira
US Amal Tiznit — Difaâ El Jadida
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 2:5: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (31%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 31% fails in about 69 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: US Amal Tiznit 35%, Difaâ El Jadida 34%, draw 31%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 2.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Difaâ El Jadida: 3 defeats in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: US Amal Tiznit — Difaâ El Jadida What is xG? | 1.3–1.4 | |
| US Amal Tiznit not to lose | 66% | |
| Difaâ El Jadida not to lose | 65% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap US Amal Tiznit
- US Amal Tiznit goals
- Difaâ El Jadida goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 03.10Wydad Casablanca0:2
- 26.09CODM Meknès2:6
- 05.07RS Berkane1:3
- 02.07away · Union Yacoub El-Mansour2:2
- 28.06KACM1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | MAT Tetouan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 13, Relegation play-off | Difaâ El Jadida | 3 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | US Amal Tiznit | 3 | 1 | -4 | 3 |
| 15, Relegation | FUS Rabat | 4 | 0 | -2 | 2 |
Next matches
- Difaâ El JadidaMAT Tetouan17 October · Botola Pro4332251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- Wydad CasablancaUS Amal Tiznit18 October · Botola Pro6322161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2
Botola Pro on the same day
- 383329XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:0.1.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →