J1 League (Japan), round 10 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Kashima Antlers — V-Varen Nagasaki
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Kashima Antlers are clear favourites: 58% against 17% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Kashima Antlers are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kashima Antlers — V-Varen Nagasaki What is xG? | 1.8–0.9 | |
| Kashima Antlers not to lose | 83% | |
| V-Varen Nagasaki not to lose | 42% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Kashima Antlers
- Kashima Antlers goals
- V-Varen Nagasaki goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10Gamba Osaka2:0
- 19.09away · Kawasaki Frontale3:3
- 11.09away · Vissel Kobe1:2
- 06.09Urawa Red Diamonds0:1
- 02.09away · Mito Hollyhock2:4
- 11.10away · JEF United Chiba1:1
- 19.09Cerezo Osaka1:1
- 12.09Nagoya Grampus2:0
- 06.09away · Vissel Kobe1:3
- 02.09Gamba Osaka2:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 9 | 4 | +4 | 15 |
| 13 | Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | -6 | 9 |
J1 League on the same day
- 3729341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 2927442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.7
- 7218101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- 2228502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.2
- 4027331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- 2928422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.5
- 5026231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →